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THE COMMONS · forward · impact 1/5 · 2026-09-29 · US government

US Quantum Competition Targets Fault-Tolerant Computers by 2028

US government launches $215 million race to build error-corrected quantum computers capable of scientific calculations by 2028

The US Department of Energy has launched a $215 million competition to develop fault-tolerant quantum computers with at least 100 logical qubits by 2028. The prize structure includes $1.5 million for early milestones, $100 million for 100 logical qubits, and $50 million each for 150 and 200 logical qubits. The program expects to support 3 to 10 competing teams, with $45 million allocated for national laboratories to validate systems from hardware to algorithms. Only $2.5 million of the total prize pot is guaranteed from current federal budgets; the remainder depends on future congressional approval.

This competition requires teams to demonstrate verifiable scientific calculations in chemistry, materials science, physics, or applied mathematics—not just raw qubit counts. Industry estimates view the 2028 target as the 'most aspirational end' of current roadmaps for achieving fault tolerance, meaning practical deployment for real-world problems remains years away.

While not yet deployable, this initiative could eventually unlock computational power to model climate systems, accelerate drug discovery, and optimize energy grids—needs that currently constrain global abundance. The focus on logical qubits and scientific validation ensures progress targets meaningful utility rather than theoretical metrics.

What to watch: Congressional approval for the remaining prize funds, teams’ ability to deliver verifiable scientific results by 2028, and whether the 100-logical-qubit benchmark proves feasible for practical applications. The 2028 target represents the most ambitious current pathway to error-corrected quantum systems, but real-world impact remains constrained by technical and funding hurdles.

Source: Singularity Hub